By A. Trevor Thrall, Jane K. Cramer
This edited quantity addresses the difficulty of risk inflation in American overseas coverage and household politics. The Bush administration's competitive crusade to construct public help for an invasion of Iraq reheated fears concerning the president's skill to govern the general public, and plenty of charged the management with 'threat inflation', duping the scoop media and deceptive the general public into aiding the struggle below fake pretences.
Presenting the most recent study, those essays search to reply to the query of why possibility inflation happens and while it is going to be profitable. easily outlined, it's the attempt by way of elites to create hindrance for a chance that is going past the scope and urgency that disinterested research might justify. extra generally, the method matters how elites view threats, the political makes use of of probability inflation, the politics of chance framing between competing elites, and the way the general public translates and perceives threats through the scoop media.
The conflict with Iraq will get certain recognition during this quantity, besides the 'War on Terror'. even supposing many think that the Bush management effectively inflated the Iraq probability, there isn't a neat consensus approximately why this was once profitable. via either theoretical contributions and case experiences, this booklet showcases the 4 significant factors of danger inflation -- realism, household politics, psychology, and constructivism -- and makes them confront each other without delay. the result's a richer appreciation of this crucial dynamic in US politics and international coverage, current and future.
This e-book might be of a lot pursuits to scholars people international and nationwide safety coverage, overseas safety, strategic reviews and IR typically.
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Extra info for American Foreign Policy and The Politics of Fear: Threat Inflation since 9/11
I would similarly predict that if Bush and his colleagues decide that the prospect of Iranian nuclear weapons is truly intolerable, they will come to see the negative consequences of an air strike as quite small. 28 Robert Jervis The desire to avoid trade-offs is clear in the discussion of Iraq. As a soldier’s mother put it: “I know my son’s there for a reason. And whatever might happen, that’s the way it’s supposed to be. And if I took it any other way, I’d be in a funny farm” (Abramsky 2004: 11).
In order to disentangle excess beliefs and determine which of them were primarily responsible for the policy, we can try to see which was most compatible with what the person believed over a prolonged period as well as fitting with other actions she had taken (see May 1975). Although this assumes a degree of consistency that, as I have noted, may be problematic, it is noteworthy that Bush and his colleagues consistently held a healthy – or unhealthy – respect for the utility of American force in world politics.
S. ) (1984) The Making of America’s Soviet Policy, New Haven: Yale University Press. Payne, R. A. (2001) “Persuasion, frames and norm construction,” European Journal of International Relations, 7: 37–61. Renshon, J. (2005) Why Leaders Choose War: The Psychology of Prevention, New York: Praeger. Introduction 15 Rousseau, D. L. (2006) Identifying Threats and Threatening Identities: The Social Construction of Realism and Liberalism, Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press. Sears, D. O. (1993) “Symbolic politics: A socio-psychological theory,” in S.